Intrinsic limits to predictability of abrupt regional climate change in IPCC SRES scenarios

Impact of Climate Change on Hydrometeorological Variables in a River Basin in India for IPCC SRES Scenarios

Effects of Ipcc Sres Emissions Scenarios on River Runoff: a Global Perspective Effects of Ipcc Sres* Emissions Scenarios on River Runoff: a Global Perspective

This paper describes an assessment of the implications of future climate change for river runoff across the entire world, using six climate models which have been driven by the SRES emissions scenarios. Streamflow is simulated at a spatial resolution of 0.5 o ×0.5 o using a macro-scale hydrological model, and summed to produce total runoff for almost 1200 catchments. The effects of climate chan...

Abrupt climate change and thermohaline circulation: mechanisms and predictability.

The ocean's thermohaline circulation has long been recognized as potentially unstable and has consequently been invoked as a potential cause of abrupt climate change on all timescales of decades and longer. However, fundamental aspects of thermohaline circulation changes remain poorly understood.

Wedge decomposition analysis: Application to SRES and Post-SRES Scenarios

We introduce a general methodology for displaying the gross assumptions behind any carbon emissions trajectory, relative to a reference trajectory, and we apply this methodology to a limited number of IPCC SRES scenarios [1]. These scenarios have been used widely for climate change analysis. We examine four scenarios (A1B, A2, B1, B2) together with three paired “post-SRES” scenarios [2, 3] that...

Regional climate change scenarios and their impacts on water requirements for wheat production in Iran

We simulate the effect of climate change on water requirements of cold seasonwheat in various climatic zones of Iran. The research considers both observedclimate (temperature and precipitation) changes during recent decades (1960-2009)based on instrumental records and projected future changes to 2100 based on theMAGICC/SCENGEN 5.3 compound model. 20 General Circulation models are usedbased on a...